Chaos Theory and Military Decision-Making Process
exploring new paradigms for the art of war
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.70545/ran.v9i13.12918Keywords:
Chaos Theory., Art of War., Chaosplex., Modeling.Abstract
The perennial phenomenon of war creates a permanent possibility for the emergence of imponderables of various shades in the conflict area, forming the chaotic set that exists in any Theater of Operations. Chaos Theory is one of the most important scientific studies today, with applications in practically all areas of human knowledge, including the Art of War. This article explores how Chaos Theory can be applied to Military Doctrine, indicating its relevance for the evolution of the Art of War. The objective is to theorize about the application of Chaos Theory in Military Doctrine, exploring how its principles can be integrated into the decision-making process, and how this can contribute to the evolution of the Art of War. To this end, Torres' work, in “Complexity Theory: A New Worldview for Strategy”, is important for clarifying points of Chaos Theory. Regarding the applicability of Chaos Theory to the Art of War, Kolenda proves to be crucial in his work: Transforming How We Fight: A Conceptual Approach. The military manual MD35-10-G.102: Glossary of the Armed Forces, of Brazil, defines terms relevant to this work. The research is based on a theoretical review that connects principles of chaos to aspects of military doctrine, providing a new perspective on adaptation and response to situations of uncertainty and complexity of non-linearity in the Theater of Operations.
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